All Publications
Briefs, papers, field notes and magazine articles from across the EPIS network.

France Wants Europe at the Table. But Who Will Decide Europe’s Security?
European representatives joined consultations in Abu Dhabi but not the direct talks with Russia. Under VCLT Art. 34, a treaty cannot impose obligations on third states without their consent. Yet a Russia-Ukraine deal could still reshape European security, especially if Europe may have to guarante…

The Philippines Heeds Warning to Curb Anti-China Rhetoric Amongst its Officials
The Philippine Foreign Affairs Department has attempted to reduce anti-China rhetoric amongst its government representatives, following a recent warning Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi had made.

The New Deal Ahead but at what cost? The EU-UK Security and Energy alliance
1. Regarding the EU re-entering the electricity market with the crucial aim in stabilizing energy prices, the UK currently faces an obstacle in striking a deal due to the EU’s insistence in Britain’s participation in cohesion funds. 2. Progress in youth mobility scheme might be deferred due to in…

Rostat hack exposes russian casualties in russo-Ukrainian war
As per hackers’ estimates, the losses of the russian military can be estimated within the range of 400 and 450 thousand killed. Which indicates that in the last 4 years of the russian war the country may have lost more than a million of its working population due to death or war-related injuries.

France Blames Iran for Cyber Sabotage. What Happens Next?
A cyberattack on supermarket fridges has become a diplomatic crisis. France says Iran is behind it, and Tehran says the claim is unfounded. But in international law, naming a culprit is only the first step, and the next ones are far less clear.

Russia preys on the unrest in France with speedy and spillover consequences
Through social media, Russia has influenced the population in France after the Russia- Ukraine war. The purpose of influence is to destabilize France as one of the main revivals of Russia in the war. This time the target of Russia is on the recent unrest of France. France need to learn form this …

British government set to weaken its EV sale targets
The British government is expected to lower the 2030 annual sales target of EVs from 80% to 60%. This change reflects a broader shift globally of weakening climate goals.

Rearm Now! Problems will be dealt with later (hopefully)
Guest Contribution by Euro Prospects: As Europe races to rearm, its arms export controls risk failing to keep pace, increasing the danger of diversion, illicit proliferation, and weapons reaching unintended conflict zones.

A German Minesweeping Mission in The Strait of Hormuz Now Looks Less Likely
Germany’s Hormuz commitment is now a standby capability, not an operation. Unlike Aspides, where Berlin deployed within weeks into an active threat environment, its Hormuz conditions mean German ships would only arrive once the danger has passed.

Task Force Iron Gate: Washington’s Overland Blockade Tests Iran’s Northern Lifelines
Iron Gate aims at the overland and Caspian routes Tehran uses to rebuild its military industries: Russian detonators and drone parts by sea, Chinese electronics by rail through Central Asia.

France Pushes for a European Voice in Ukraine Peace Talks
France’s diplomatic challenge is to turn European representation into influence over Ukraine’s future security.

China Gains Diplomatic Ground in the South Pacific
China’s growing influence in the South Pacific is challenging Taiwan’s diplomatic presence and raising questions about the foreign policy autonomy of Pacific Island states.

Germany hosts negotiations to solve the drug price quarrel between Europe and USA
The representatives of the USA will meet their German colleagues in Berlin, discuss the drug tariffs and prices, a topic of widespread discussion across Europe

Former Brexit negotiator believes that UK can rejoin single market on a conditional basis
Paradoxically, by leaving the European Union after Brexit, the UK has relinquished many of its beneficial freedoms and exceptions. Such as no obligation to join the Eurozone and Schengen zone, as well as the Thatchers rebate on common budget contributions. All of which the UK would be unlikely to…

Mélenchon Unveils 2027 Programme, Renewing Call for France to Leave NATO
Mélenchon’s 2027 programme links economic reform with a push for greater French sovereignty, challenging both EU constraints and France’s role within NATO.

Beijing Pursues Historic Diplomatic Gathering Between China, US and Russia
China’s efforts to arrange a meeting between Xi, Trump and Putin reflect its ambition to play a central role in international diplomacy. While the three powers have different priorities, hosting the gathering would give Beijing an opportunity to strengthen its diplomatic standing and maintain dia…

UK braces for the new wave of illegal immigrants from Netherlands
The question of how the UK is going to solve the issue of the illegal migration that was one of a cornerstone issues of the Brexit referendum remains open to this day as country tries to find economically and politically efficient solution for it.

Opening a New Front? Iran Casts US Bases in Europe as Co-Belligerent
Iran’s threat to strike Europe is mainly coercive: it aims to make hosting US bases costly and to split European capitals from Washington. Its missiles probably can’t reach Germany yet, so the real risk lies in hybrid options below the threshold of open war.

Shield of the Americas: Protection for Whom and at What Price?
Since September 2025, the US military has killed over 200 people in strikes on suspected drug boats in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific. Relatives identified many of the dead as local fishermen and labourers with no clear link to trafficking.

The November 20 UK-EU Summit: Navigating ‘Made in Europe’ Barriers
Without specific waivers for UK defense contractors, European strategic autonomy risks fragmenting established cross-Channel supply chains.